Sunday, January 29, 2012

Madison Bumgarner: 2012 NL Cy Young candidate



While looking through a list of top young major leaguers and prospects, some names stand out. Pitchers such as Matt Moore, Jacob Turner, Michael Pineda and Julio Teheran will soon be mentioned among the top aces in the game of baseball and be expected to compete year-in, year-out for pitching awards. For now, though, they have little big-league experience and will likely experience growing pains the next few years before reaching their peak.

There is, however, a young hurler I can foresee making a big impact in the 2012 NL Cy Young Award balloting, as long as his equally-talented teammates don’t overshadow him. Yes, call me biased, but I am referring to big lefty Madison Bumgarner of the San Francisco Giants.

“MadBum”, as he is affectionately called by the fans, was a top prospect coming out of high school in North Carolina. At 20 years of age he got a taste of the majors and succeeded, and the black and orange faithful were looking forward to many years of strong pitching with him joining Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain at the top of the rotation. But, unbeknownst to many, his sizzling fastball had lost some steam.

Bumgarner started 2010 the same way and got lit up in a few starts at AAA Fresno, but he fixed a problem in his mechanics and was an integral part to the Giants’ run to the World Series title, including eight shutout innings in game four against the Texas Rangers.

Things were looking up for Bumgarner at the beginning of 2011, but his first few starts foretold a possible sophomore slump. He finally figured things out, though, and had a great season despite a few hiccups throughout the season. While he wasn’t considered a serious contender for Cy Young, he did earn a vote. Bumgarner had a great ERA (3.21) despite a fluke outing where he gave up eight earned runs and got one out (and if you remove that game from his stats, his ERA plummets to 2.86). He averaged nearly a strikeout per inning and walked just two batters per nine innings.

The big lefty’s final 10 starts of 2011 are what have me very excited for the upcoming season. At a time when most pitchers are faltering because of fatigue, MadBum was at his best. He had double-digit strikeouts three times in that stretch, including a career-high 13 in one outing. He K’d nearly five batters for every one walk and allowed and suppressed hits much better than his overall season, with more than a hit less per nine innings.

Entering 2012, Bumgarner has many things going his way. Quite honestly, I think he will continue improving and put up full-season statistics along the lines of those final 10 starts. If he can figure out his annual beginning-of-the-season problems, he could have an outstanding season and not only be in the discussion but win the NL Cy Young Award.